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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Wednesday, 25 February 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.16MT OF COAL IN JANUARY; DECLINED 16.70% FROM A MONTH AGO
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.15 billio ...
Wednesday, 25 February 15
BDI SLIPPING ONCE MORE TO FRESH HISTORICAL LOWS
COALspot.com: With the BDI slipping once more to fresh historical lows and the Chinese holidays underway, signs for a positive reversal in the Dry ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SET TO RALLY
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 3.30 (+7.30%) ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
Q3' FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED $59.80 W/E 20 FEB
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and decline week on week.
The Q2 swap has soar ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
IHS ENERGY COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
Attend the IHS Energy Coal Conference of the Americas 17-19 March in Cartagena, Colombia and learn about timely concerns in today's coal indust ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
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