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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 09 March 15
CHINA'S IMPORTS - NEVER MORE IMPORTANT TO SHIPPING? - CLARKSONS
Over the last 15 years China has led maritime forecasters a right old dance. In 2002, rumours that Chinese iron ore imports were about to take off ...
Sunday, 08 March 15
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS TRENDING UP
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to see gains this week and all the indices were rose except for Cape index. The BDI was increased 4.62 p ...
Friday, 06 March 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX: IS THIS POWERFUL INDICATOR SIGNALING A GLOBAL RECESSION? - STREET AUTHORITY
Although memories of the Great Recession linger, a case can be made that better days lie ahead.
That’s because central banks around the ...
Friday, 06 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 3.5% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
PANAMAX : THE ATLANTIC ROUND IS NOW PAYING AROUND US$ 5K PER DAY
COALspot.com: Handy - The activity in the handy/supra segment is back. “ We see more fresh cargo in the market for 2nd half March dates ...
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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