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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Wednesday, 11 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DROP $ 3.65 - 4.0/T W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has fell US$ ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
DRY BULK MARKET CLOSED OFF ON THE GREEN FOR A SECOND WEEK IN A ROW - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off on the green for a second week in a row, while the performance of Capesizes hindered a more substantia ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
MARKET INSIGHT : NEWBUILDINGS - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
From a cost-based, buy-low perspective, there is currently a buying opportunity in the second-hand dry bulk market. I am an anti-cyclical (buy-low) ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
DRY BULK MARKET: ALL IS NOT LOST FOR A RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The low cost of commodities across the board could trigger an increase of trade among many countries, which in turn could lead to a recovery of the ...
Wednesday, 11 March 15
U.S. ELECTRIC GENERATING COMPANIES TO ADD MORE THAN 20 GW OF GENERATING CAPACITY IN 2015; 16 GW OF GENERATING CAPACITY IS EXPECTED TO RETIRE IN 2015
COALspot.com: In 2015, electric generating companies in U.S. expect to add more than 20 gigawatts (GW) of utility-scale generating capacity to the ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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