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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Friday, 13 March 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.3% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 March 15
ADARO RECORDED A 7% INCREASE IN EBITDA OF $877 MILLION IN 2014
“Coal market continues to be difficult and challenging” – Adaro Energy
The world’s Top 5 thermal coal exporter, ...
Thursday, 12 March 15
CAPESIZE : ACTIVITY IS LOW; PANAMAX: BIT MORE ACTIVITY; HANDY: A FIRMING WEEK
Handy
It has been a firming week in both hemispheres this week and especially in the Pacific, says Fearnleys AS in its week's week report.
...
Thursday, 12 March 15
COAL MINERS REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE AS GLUT CONTINUES - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesia’s major coal miners reported a significant drop in their earnings last year as the sharp drop in the global demand, mainly from Chi ...
Thursday, 12 March 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP DROP TO $47.33 A TON IN THE WEEK ENDED MAR.6
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 drop month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap fell US$ 0.37 (0.78%) month ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
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