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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Wednesday, 18 March 15
Q2 INDONESIAN COAL SWAP DROP 1.45% M-O-M; GAIN 0.63% W-O-W
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 drop month on month and gained week over week.
The Q2 swap fell US$ 0.70 (1.45%) ...
Tuesday, 17 March 15
GAS TO CHALLENGE COAL IN THE ASIAN POWER GENERATION MIX - WOOD MACKENZIE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Wood Mackenzie says that coal is facing increasing competition from gas in the power sector. Coal has dominated as the fu ...
Tuesday, 17 March 15
RIO TINTO PAID US$ 7.1 BILLION IN TAXES IN 2014
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto has published its latest Taxes paid report, detailing the US$7.1 billion in taxes paid by the company around the world in 2 ...
Tuesday, 17 March 15
NEARLY 17% OF US COAL PRODUCTION UNECONOMIC AT CURRENT MARKET PRICING - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com: Close to 17% of forecast 2015 US coal production is at risk of idling or closure, totalling 162 million short tons (Mst), as these mi ...
Tuesday, 17 March 15
Q3' SA COAL SWAP CLOSED $57.30 PMT W/E 13 MARCH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and gained week on week.
The Q2 swap has fe ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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