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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Thursday, 19 March 15
HANDY: INDO COAL CARGOS DESTINED FOR INDIA BEING FIXED IN REGION OF $ 7-8K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Handy and Supra market has had a week with mixed signals. Although we see more activity in both hemispheres the rates are only up about ...
Thursday, 19 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK SOAR 7.69% IN MARCH....!!!
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised up Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 67.76 per MT in March ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
AVERAGE RATE FOR CAPES MOVED TO BELOW $ 4K/DAY LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The even heavier losses noted in the Capesize segment last week, denied the Dry Bulk market a third weekly positive, while the smalle ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
PARKING THE CAPES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It is no secret that recent times have been anything but kind towards shipping, and no sector has suffered more lately than the dry bulk one. While ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
CHINA-OWNED SHIPS: A RAPID RISE TO BECOME ONE OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST FLEETS - RICHARD SCOTT
Ships operated by owners based in China have become increasingly prominent on the world’s sea routes. China-owned container ships, bulk carri ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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