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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 23 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: Q3 DELIVERY HAS FALLEN 7.93% MONTH-ON-MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.09 (-7.06%) per MT month over month and US$ 2.00 (-3 ...
Monday, 23 March 15
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE: GROWTH +5% - GERMAN COAL IMPORTER ASSOCIATION
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Sunday, 22 March 15
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUED TO RISE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady this week as all the segments increased after many weeks of weak trend.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ...
Friday, 20 March 15
HARD COAL MARKET 2014: DESPITE THE ENERGY TURNAROUND, HARD COAL IMPORTS TO GERMANY RISE BY MORE THAN 6% (PART 1)
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Friday, 20 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 5.9% INCREASE WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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