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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Tuesday, 24 March 15
A WEAK WEEK FOR FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 drop month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap fell US$ 2.48 (5.12%) month ...
Tuesday, 24 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY Q2 CLOSED $ 1.87 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q3 CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has dropped U ...
Tuesday, 24 March 15
ARGUS MEDITERRANEAN SOLID FUELS 2015 CONFERENCE | 2-3 JUNE, ISTANBUL
Press Release: Argus Media is proud to announce Argus Mediterranean Solid Fuels, which will be held in Istanbul,on 2-3February.
Argus produces ...
Monday, 23 March 15
IS OIL GETTING READY TO PLUNGE BELOW $40? - FORBES
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In my last crude oil market update in late-February, I expressed my skepticism toward the oil price rebound. Since then, ...
Monday, 23 March 15
Q4' 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS DECLINED 6.79% M-O-M; 2.55% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.42 per MT (-6.33%) month over month and US$ 1.37 (-2.77%) we ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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