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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressur ...
Friday, 27 March 15
INDONESIA: NEW REGULATION REQUIRES LETTER OF CREDIT FOR EXPORT OF PRODUCTS FROM NATURAL RESOURCES
The Minister of Trade issued Ministerial Regulation No. 04/M-DAG/PER/1/2015 (“Regulation No. 4/2015”) on 5 January 2015. Regulati ...
Friday, 27 March 15
WEEKLY U.S COAL OUTPUT FALLS 1.7% W-W; 7.9% Y-Y
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.2 million ...
Thursday, 26 March 15
CHINA IRON ORE IMPORT FOR THE FIRST 2 MONTHS DECLINED BY 1.2 % Y-O-Y; PANAMAX AUSSIE/CHINA ROUNDS BEING FIXED IN THE $4 -5K RANGE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
There has been more activity in both hemispheres this week. Especially the USG market has picked up with more cargoes for prompter dates en ...
Thursday, 26 March 15
RATES FOR THE SMALLER SIZE SEGMENT CONTINUED TO IMPROVE LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
To see green across the board is a rare occurrence in the Dry Bulk market nowadays and while the upside in which last week closed off is not of the ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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