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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 30 March 15
WORST IS OVER FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, BUT THE PAIN WILL REMAIN FOR YEARS TO COME, SAYS BIMCO CHIEF ANALYST - HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current demise of the dry bulk market isn’t one to go away anytime soon. That doesn’t mean that it can’t improve, with all sh ...
Monday, 30 March 15
Q3' 15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: DECLINED 8.7% M-M; 12.77% Y-TO-D
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.00 (-8.70%) per MT month over month and US$ 1.33 (-2 ...
Monday, 30 March 15
Q2' FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.47% HIGHER THAN Q4' CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.42 per MT (-10.43%) month over month and US$ 1.60 (-3.32%) w ...
Sunday, 29 March 15
INDO - INDIA: SUPRAMAX & PANAMAX FREIGHT MARKET STEADY
COALspot.com: The freight market was almost stable as all segments slightly up except Panamax sector.
The BDI was up by just 0.85% week over w ...
Saturday, 28 March 15
IS NORTHERN EUROPE THE NEW MINING ELDORADO?
The Europe Mining 2015 Summit, organised by Global Summits organizer IRN on 17-18 June in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, will gather senior level repr ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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