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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Sunday, 05 April 15
FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Indices fell on all segments and the market seemed to soften this week.
The BDI was almost lost 1.34% week over week and clo ...
Saturday, 04 April 15
BORYEONG POWER OF KOMIPO TO BUY TOTALED 695K MT OF HIGH AND LCV COAL
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 500000 Metr ...
Friday, 03 April 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION STAYS FLAT
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.3 million short ...
Friday, 03 April 15
TOBA BARA'S PANDU SJAHRIR ELECTED AS NEW CHAIRMAN OF THE INDONESIAN COAL MINING ASSOCIATION
COALspot.com: Pandu Sjahrir, the Vice President Director & CFO of the Jakarta-listed PT Toba Bara Sejahtra — a subsidiary of PT Toba Seja ...
Thursday, 02 April 15
GOVERNMENT MUST WORK WITH MINING, NOT AGAINST IT - PANDU SJAHRIR
The Coal Face: The coal price has hit its lowest point in recent memory
My father used to say to me that his children are his biggest inv ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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