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Wednesday, 11 February 15
BDI HITTING THE ALL-TIME LOW; FFA MARKETS NOT SHOWING ANY POSITIVE SIGNS
With the BDI hitting the all-time low and with FFA markets not showing any positive signs for a possible recovery in the near future, pessimism is still prevailing across the Dry Bulk sector. Average rates for all sizes are now trading below OPEX levels, rendering owners exposed to substantial loses. Apart from the existing tonnage surplus, for which we have talked a lot during the last years, anemic global growth and demand for dry bulk commodities have also pushed the BDI to its lowest historical point.
The decline of coal trade due to low demand from China is causing a big “headache” to Capesize and Panamax owners. Imports to China have been significantly reduced, since the local government is trying to shift away its dependency to coal for electricity production, to other renewable sources of energy. Despite that other countries like India have increased coal imports but that has so far proved inadequate to substitute entirely the fall in Chinese imports. As a result, many Panamaxes and capers, which were engaged in coal trade, are shifting to iron ore trade where in terms of transferred volume we are witnessing a healthy trade growth despite the fact that rates here have also plummeted.
Iron ore exports to China from Australia and Brazil rose as stockpiles in Chinese ports had hit a 12-month low in the beginning of the year. Low iron ore price together with cheap transportation cost and Chinese New Year festivities around the corner is the reason behind the increased volumes of iron ore imports. This increase has helped the Capesize market to slightly pick up from its historical lower point ever recorded in January and witness improved rates, which nonetheless are still far from what could be described as decent.
Headlines regarding the dry bulk market are mostly negative these days, however in this bearish market there are some news which could be interpreted as positive signs, something that market needs since this “crisis” is not only driven by its fundamental problems but also by sentiment. On one hand, iron ore imports could be soon increasing as demand from the Chinese steel industry is expected to rise on the back of the recently announced plan by the Chinese government to invest heavily (around USD1 trillion) in infrastructure projects as an attempt to support growth.
Secondly, activity in dry bulk demolition activity has increased the last month as a result of declining freight rates. As a matter of fact, in just one month’s time the number of Capesize vessels that was sold for scrap reached the number of Capesizes scrapped during the whole of 2014. Under this freight environment it is very likely that this trend will continue, helping the market alleviate some of the abundant tonnage. Finally, new building activity is declining because of both the current negative environment and also lack of finance to support these projects as a result of this environment. Also some contracted dry projects which have not commenced are now being swapped to wet projects allowing the substantial dry bulk order book to take a much needed breath.
A “perfect storm” is currently taking place in the Dry Bulk market. Overcapacity, anemic global growth, lack of demand for dry bulk cargoes and bearish sentiment amongst players, have all come together and pushed the market to its lowest point since 1986. But let’s not forget that during “perfect storms” there are always opportunities, as these are the exact points in a cycle when asset values hit attractive lows that makes investing suitable for asset play opportunities and fleet renewals, especially for those who have sat in the sideways all these years waiting for this exact “perfect storm”.
By Yannis Olziersky
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 08 February 15
BDI FELL CONTINUOUSLY HIT A THREE DECADES LOW
COALspot.com: This week Baltic Exchange Dry Freight Index (BDI) fell continuously hit a three decades low.
The BDI continuously fell and was d ...
Friday, 06 February 15
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP AN ESTIMATED 1.1% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 20.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 06 February 15
SHIP DAMAGED BY FIRE CAUSED BY PIRATES FOUND TO BE CONSTRUCTIVE TOTAL LOSS - TAYLOR WESSING
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The High Court was asked to determine a number of preliminary issues, including whether a vessel was a constructive total ...
Thursday, 05 February 15
BDI HAS NOW FALLEN A LEVEL CLOSE TO THE INDEX'S HISTORIC LOW - INTERMODAL
They say a picture is worth a thousand words and in this instance just one look at the tables above is enough to understand the great pressure the ...
Thursday, 05 February 15
ULTRAMAX LEVELS FROM INDIA TO CHINA IN THE MID US$ 5000'S - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Despite the overall weak sentiment, there is a scent of optimism in the Atlantic market for ppt dates. Continent is still struggling with o ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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