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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 20 February 15
U.S. PRODUCED AROUND 19.2 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 19 February 15
PANAMAX: NOPAC AND AUSSIE ROUNDS ARE DONE IN LOW/MID $ 4000; TRIPS VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA CLOSER TO THE $5000 MARK - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The handy and supra market has not seen any firming rates in front of the Chinese New Year and still suffering on low activity in both hemi ...
Wednesday, 18 February 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING TO RECOVER IN LATE 2015 - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Strong trade growth, moderating fleet development and deployment of new fuel efficient vessels are expected to lead to a recovery in dry bulk shipp ...
Tuesday, 17 February 15
WHO PAYS THE SUEZ CANAL FEES? - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
This was an appeal from an arbitration award on a point of construction in relation to the wording of an addendum to a ch ...
Tuesday, 17 February 15
BUOYANT WAVES IN RECENT YEARS: GLOBAL SHIP INVESTMENT SINCE THE CRASH - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Anxiety about fleet expansion is a recurring feature of world shipping markets. Within the global maritime community, worries about the vast amount ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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