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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 17 February 15
FOB SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP UP 8% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 3.58 (+8.00%) month o ...
Tuesday, 17 February 15
Q2' FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $63.45; $ 1.85 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month, week on week and day on day.
The Q2 swap has ...
Monday, 16 February 15
COAL MINING SLUMP A BLESSING IN DISGUISE - THE JAKARTA POST
The growth of the coal-mining industry, which has diminished in the last two years, is expected to slump even further this year following weakening ...
Monday, 16 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.31 per MT (+2.59%) week over week and US$ 4.35 (+9.13%) month on ...
Monday, 16 February 15
Q2' 15 - CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP ROSE 5.22% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 2.88 (+5.22%) per MT month over month and US$ 1.08 (+1.90% ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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