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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 15 February 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUALLY DIPPED IN RED
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index continues its decline and fell 5.18 pct to 530 points week on week due to falling commodity prices and declining ...
Saturday, 14 February 15
SHALE GAS AND TIGHT OIL ARE COMMERCIALLY PRODUCED IN JUST FOUR COUNTRIES - EIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The United States, Canada, China, and Argentina are currently the only four countries in the world that are producing com ...
Friday, 13 February 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 10% DECLINE
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 February 15
SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED SHIP OWNERS SQUEEZED OUT OF THE MARKET ON CRASHING DRY BULK MARKET AND EUROZONE CRISIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Financing issues have started to tighten the noose in the throats of small and medium-size ship owners, who were already facing problems over the p ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
CAPESIZE: THE BEST DESCRIPTION FOR THE MARKET IS, FLAT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The handy and supra market is also being affected by the marginal volume of activity in the commodity sales. We see a small upturn in the T ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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