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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 February 15
IRON ORE MARKET TO REMAIN OVERSUPPLIED IN 2015: PRICE FORECAST $70/T - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com: With January witnessing the price of iron ore falling to its lowest levels since May 2009, Roger Emslie, Principal Metals & ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP ADVANCES 3.79% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 0.85 (+1.81%) month o ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK OVER WEEK, RAISING HOPES?
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.95 per MT (+1.91%) week over week and declined US$ 0.06 (-0.12%) ...
Monday, 09 February 15
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS BEST POSITIONED IN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET; US MINES MOST AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
In a 2015 global coal outlook report, Wood Mackenzie says that Australia and Indonesian coal suppliers will see some upside in the difficult months ...
Monday, 09 February 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP GAINS 3.65% TO ONE-MONTH HIGH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and day on day.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 2.1 ...
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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