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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 February 15
ULTRAMAX LEVELS FROM INDIA TO CHINA IN THE MID US$ 5000'S - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Despite the overall weak sentiment, there is a scent of optimism in the Atlantic market for ppt dates. Continent is still struggling with o ...
Wednesday, 04 February 15
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It has been just about over 2 months since, in a move that surprised many and caused widespread apprehension, OPEC decided to maintain its producti ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.29 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q1 swap up US$ 0.68 (+1.41%) month o ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 5.86% LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.26 per MT (+0.51%) week over week and declined US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) ...
Monday, 02 February 15
API 4 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ROSE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has decli ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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