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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 January 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED 65.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 30 January 15
CAN BULKER CONVERSIONS SPOIL THE TANKER MARKET'S PARTY? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Oversupply of tonnage has always been in the back of the head of ship owners when it comes to taking advantage of favorable market conditions. As s ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CHINA ENERGY DEMAND MUST BE REVIEWED DUE TO FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CHANGES - WOOD MACKENZIE
New patterns emerging as energy demand growth decoupled significantly from GDP growth for the first time in 2014
Wood Mackenzie says 2014 was ...
Thursday, 29 January 15
CAPE MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING WITH LOW DEMAND AND LOW COMMODITY PRICES
Handy
Supramax rates are heading south with slipping rates all across the block. USG activity is slow with mid-week levels in the mid 8.000s, Fea ...
Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. L ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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