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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 24 February 15
IHS ENERGY COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
Attend the IHS Energy Coal Conference of the Americas 17-19 March in Cartagena, Colombia and learn about timely concerns in today's coal indust ...
Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 ROSE 3.39% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.90 (+3.39%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.08 ...
Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED $1 HIGHER THAN Q3
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.12 per MT (+6.44%) month over month and fall US$ 0.43 (-0.83%) w ...
Sunday, 22 February 15
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX LOST ALMOST 3.2% OR 17 POINTS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, one of the economic indicators that monitors the health of the world's economy by tracking the price of shi ...
Friday, 20 February 15
GOVT SET TO INCREASE COAL OUTPUT TARGET THIS YEAR - JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is planning to increase its coal output target this year as the government seeks to offset the ongoing de ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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