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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hi ...
Wednesday, 25 February 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.16MT OF COAL IN JANUARY; DECLINED 16.70% FROM A MONTH AGO
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.15 billio ...
Wednesday, 25 February 15
BDI SLIPPING ONCE MORE TO FRESH HISTORICAL LOWS
COALspot.com: With the BDI slipping once more to fresh historical lows and the Chinese holidays underway, signs for a positive reversal in the Dry ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SET TO RALLY
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 3.30 (+7.30%) ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
Q3' FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED $59.80 W/E 20 FEB
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and decline week on week.
The Q2 swap has soar ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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