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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
Sunday, 01 March 15
BDI INDEX SLIGHTLY UP CAUSED AN INCREASE IN THE PANAMAX, SUPARAMAX AND HANDY SIZE INDICES
COALspot.com: The freight market saw some gains this week and BDI was up 5.26 pct closed at 540 points. However the Cape index failed to follow BDI ...
Friday, 27 February 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN AN ESTIMATED 14.0% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 16.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET COULD REBOUND FROM HISTORICAL LOWS IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market could exit from its historical lows in the coming weeks, as Chinese buyers reenter the market after the holiday celebrations. T ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
COAL POLICY RISK: HIGHER ROYALTIES FOR IUP HOLDERS - BAHANA SECURITIES | JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry plans to raise coal royalties charged to mining operation permit (IUP) holders by the end of the first qu ...
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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