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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 06 April 19
AUSTRALIA COAL POSTS BIGGEST WEEKLY DROP IN A DECADE AMID WEAK DEMAND - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices this week registered their biggest weekly fall since the financial market turmoil of a decade ago as demand plunged ...
Saturday, 06 April 19
SUPRAMAX: IT WAS A POOR WEEK OVERALL FOR THE BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX, WHICH LOST GROUND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market over the past week looked to have found a floor on Tuesday with the BCI 5TC at $3460 before firming into the rest ...
Thursday, 04 April 19
OVERSUPPLY STILL MAJOR CHALLENGE WARNS ICS
Speaking in Istanbul, Simon Bennett, Deputy Secretary General of the International Chamber of Shipping (ICS) warned that avoiding overcapacity and ...
Thursday, 04 April 19
GLENCORE, TOHOKU ELECTRIC SET COAL CONTRACT PRICE AT $94.75/T - SOURCE, REUTERS REPORTED
Global miner Glencore and Japan’s Tohoku Electric Power agreed on a price of $94.75 per tonne for supplies of thermal coal from Australia for ...
Monday, 01 April 19
FORCE MAJEURE SUCCESS NOT A SEA CHANGE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
It is difficult to successfully argue that contractual performance has been prevented or delayed by force majeure. This i ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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