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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 08 April 19
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Sunday, 07 April 19
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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