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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 01 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL AT RISK FROM CHINA MOVE, WARNS GOVERNMENT REPORT - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
A new government report warns China’s restrictions on coal imports is the number one risk for Australian coal this year and could lead to a s ...
Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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