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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 21 March 19
PRICE PLUNGE AS CHINESE LEAVE THERMAL COAL OUT IN THE COLD - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Thermal coal exporter New Hope Corporation says China’s shipment squeeze on Australia is putting downward pressure on prices in all markets i ...
Wednesday, 20 March 19
COAL EXPORT FEARS RESURFACE AS RESTRICTIONS HIT MORE CHINESE PORTS AND AUSTRALIAN PRICES COP A 'BELTING' - ABC
Australian thermal coal exports to China are under increasing pressure, with indications import restrictions are spreading to other key ports.
...
Monday, 18 March 19
A 56,000DWT SHIP FIXED DELIVERY FOR A SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY CHINA, AT $10,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Baltic Capesize market shrugged off its recent negative sentiment to post daily incremental improvements over the last week. Pacif ...
Saturday, 16 March 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL STILL FACING CHINESE DELAY - AAP
Australian coal exports to China are still facing delays, with protectionism and environmental checks blamed for the slowdown.
Coal ...
Thursday, 14 March 19
SUPRAMAX: INDO COAL CARGOES GETTING FIXED AT AROUND US$ 12000 TO CHINA - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earning still well below operating costs, and owners keep bleeding - but nevertheless finally some bright spots for the ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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