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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 10 April 19
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 160K MT OF MIN. 3700 NCV COAL FOR JUNE LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 160,000 MT of min. 3,800 Kcal/kg ~max.4,100 ...
Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal ...
Wednesday, 10 April 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The tragedy in Brazil’s Vale Brumadinho where a tailings dam collapsed in January ranks among the world’s worst mining disasters. It co ...
Monday, 08 April 19
5TH INDIA NUCLEAR NEW BUILD CONGRESS 2019
5th India Nuclear New Build Congress 2019
The congress in Mumbai aims to bring together representatives from governments, regulators ...
Monday, 08 April 19
THERMAL COAL PRICES FALL, INDIAN POWER PLANTS TO SEE LIMITED GAINS - BUSINESS STANDARD
Thermal coal prices are on a downward spiral globally. Australian coal prices have fallen nearly 20 per cent in the past week, and 40 per cent from ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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