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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
 Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more than 60 percent from their peaks in 2022, driven by soft economic activity and lower gas prices, which negatively affected demand for coal in the power sector. This significant drop has been bolstered by robust supply and gradually increasing penetration of renewable electricity. Nonetheless, prices remain well above their 2015-19 average. A sharp decline in prices has already unfolded in 2024, compared to the 2023 average, with further reductions anticipated in 2025 as renewable power generation meets rising electricity demand. Major risks to this outlook include stronger-than-expected growth in China's power output and hydropower shortfalls.
Global consumption hits a record high. In 2023, coal consumption is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 120 million tons (1.4 percent) compared to 2022. However, demand growth decelerated due to weak global economic activity, high penetration of renewable electricity, and lower natural gas prices. In the United States and the European Union, demand fell by an estimated 100 million tons each, while it rose by approximately 220 million tons in China and 100 million tons in India. The global demand shift towards Asia persisted in 2023, with China and India currently accounting for 70 percent of total consumption.
Global coal production remains robust. Production is estimated to have increased by about 150 million tons (Mmt) in 2023. In India, output rose by approximately 100 Mmt, while China's production grew by about 50 Mmt, partly due to enhanced safety measures in domestic mines. Conversely, production in the United States and the European Union declined by roughly 50 Mmt and 70 Mmt, respectively. In Australia, production stagnated due to labor shortages and sluggish exports to China, which have not fully recovered after China lifted its ban on Australian imports in January 2023, originally imposed in 2021.
Global trade reaches record highs. In 2023, global coal trade is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 100 Mmt. The growth was largely driven by a 150 Mmt rise in Chinese imports, as domestic production could not keep pace with growing consumption. Reflecting these consumption patterns, the Asia Pacific region accounted for approximately 80 percent of global coal imports. In the meantime, the European Union has continued to substitute exports from Russia by increasing trade with several commercial partners including the Australia, Colombia, South Africa and the United States.
Coal prices are expected to decline by 28 percent in 2024 and a further 12 percent in 2025. Upside risks to the coal price outlook includes higher-than-expected growth in China’s consumption and various factors that could lower renewable electricity production, such as low rainfall or light wind conditions. Downside risks include ample supply and weaker-than-expected global growth. The baseline assumption that China’s coal demand peaked in 2023 may be challenged by stronger-than-expected growth in power generation, as seen in 2021, or shortfalls in output from hydropower, as in 2023. Additionally, new coal mines are under development in China, and about 110 GW of coal plants were approved in 2023, indicating that domestic coal consumption could continue to rise. Production data covering 2024Q1 indicate that coal demand in the power sector in China will increase in 2024 unless renewable generation booms over the summer months or demand for electricity decreases.
By Paolo Agnolucci & Kaltrina Temaj
World Bank
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Friday, 22 March 24
CHINA COAL INDUSTRY GROUP EXPECTS OUTPUT GROWTH TO SLOW IN 2024 - REUTERS
China’s coal output is expected to increase 36 million metric tons, or 0.8%, to about 4.7 billion tonnes in 2024, a Chinese coal industry gro ...
Monday, 18 March 24
THREE KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM OUR EUROPE GAS MARKETS SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK Q1 2024 - WOOD MACKENZIE
European gas prices are currently back to pre-crisis levels, but with a complex series of factors affecting future supply and demand, are they set ...
Wednesday, 06 March 24
INDONESIA AIMS TO FINISH MINING OUTPUT QUOTAS APPROVAL BY END-MARCH, OFFICIAL SAYS - REUTERS
Indonesia’s has approved the mining production quotarequests from more than 120mineral companies and aims to complete the approval process th ...
Monday, 04 March 24
IS YOUR GUARANTEE A GUARANTEE? NOTE TO SHIPOWNERS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The law of guarantees is not always obvious or easy to understand without proper guidance. This article clarifies the dif ...
Friday, 23 February 24
STRONG OUTLOOK FOR THE TANKER MARKET IN 2024 AND BEYOND - DNV
Several factors have aligned over the past two years to create a robust and profitable market for tanker owners, which is expected to drive newbuil ...
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Showing 26 to 30 news of total 6871 |
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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