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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
 Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more than 60 percent from their peaks in 2022, driven by soft economic activity and lower gas prices, which negatively affected demand for coal in the power sector. This significant drop has been bolstered by robust supply and gradually increasing penetration of renewable electricity. Nonetheless, prices remain well above their 2015-19 average. A sharp decline in prices has already unfolded in 2024, compared to the 2023 average, with further reductions anticipated in 2025 as renewable power generation meets rising electricity demand. Major risks to this outlook include stronger-than-expected growth in China's power output and hydropower shortfalls.
Global consumption hits a record high. In 2023, coal consumption is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 120 million tons (1.4 percent) compared to 2022. However, demand growth decelerated due to weak global economic activity, high penetration of renewable electricity, and lower natural gas prices. In the United States and the European Union, demand fell by an estimated 100 million tons each, while it rose by approximately 220 million tons in China and 100 million tons in India. The global demand shift towards Asia persisted in 2023, with China and India currently accounting for 70 percent of total consumption.
Global coal production remains robust. Production is estimated to have increased by about 150 million tons (Mmt) in 2023. In India, output rose by approximately 100 Mmt, while China's production grew by about 50 Mmt, partly due to enhanced safety measures in domestic mines. Conversely, production in the United States and the European Union declined by roughly 50 Mmt and 70 Mmt, respectively. In Australia, production stagnated due to labor shortages and sluggish exports to China, which have not fully recovered after China lifted its ban on Australian imports in January 2023, originally imposed in 2021.
Global trade reaches record highs. In 2023, global coal trade is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 100 Mmt. The growth was largely driven by a 150 Mmt rise in Chinese imports, as domestic production could not keep pace with growing consumption. Reflecting these consumption patterns, the Asia Pacific region accounted for approximately 80 percent of global coal imports. In the meantime, the European Union has continued to substitute exports from Russia by increasing trade with several commercial partners including the Australia, Colombia, South Africa and the United States.
Coal prices are expected to decline by 28 percent in 2024 and a further 12 percent in 2025. Upside risks to the coal price outlook includes higher-than-expected growth in China’s consumption and various factors that could lower renewable electricity production, such as low rainfall or light wind conditions. Downside risks include ample supply and weaker-than-expected global growth. The baseline assumption that China’s coal demand peaked in 2023 may be challenged by stronger-than-expected growth in power generation, as seen in 2021, or shortfalls in output from hydropower, as in 2023. Additionally, new coal mines are under development in China, and about 110 GW of coal plants were approved in 2023, indicating that domestic coal consumption could continue to rise. Production data covering 2024Q1 indicate that coal demand in the power sector in China will increase in 2024 unless renewable generation booms over the summer months or demand for electricity decreases.
By Paolo Agnolucci & Kaltrina Temaj
World Bank
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
Friday, 22 March 24
INDONESIA APPROVES 922.14 MLN T COAL PRODUCTION QUOTA FOR 2024, ABOVE TARGET - REUTERS
Indonesia has approved coal production quotas totalling 922.14 million metric tons for 2024, Bambang Suswantono, a senior official at the mining mi ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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