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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
 Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more than 60 percent from their peaks in 2022, driven by soft economic activity and lower gas prices, which negatively affected demand for coal in the power sector. This significant drop has been bolstered by robust supply and gradually increasing penetration of renewable electricity. Nonetheless, prices remain well above their 2015-19 average. A sharp decline in prices has already unfolded in 2024, compared to the 2023 average, with further reductions anticipated in 2025 as renewable power generation meets rising electricity demand. Major risks to this outlook include stronger-than-expected growth in China's power output and hydropower shortfalls.
Global consumption hits a record high. In 2023, coal consumption is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 120 million tons (1.4 percent) compared to 2022. However, demand growth decelerated due to weak global economic activity, high penetration of renewable electricity, and lower natural gas prices. In the United States and the European Union, demand fell by an estimated 100 million tons each, while it rose by approximately 220 million tons in China and 100 million tons in India. The global demand shift towards Asia persisted in 2023, with China and India currently accounting for 70 percent of total consumption.
Global coal production remains robust. Production is estimated to have increased by about 150 million tons (Mmt) in 2023. In India, output rose by approximately 100 Mmt, while China's production grew by about 50 Mmt, partly due to enhanced safety measures in domestic mines. Conversely, production in the United States and the European Union declined by roughly 50 Mmt and 70 Mmt, respectively. In Australia, production stagnated due to labor shortages and sluggish exports to China, which have not fully recovered after China lifted its ban on Australian imports in January 2023, originally imposed in 2021.
Global trade reaches record highs. In 2023, global coal trade is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 100 Mmt. The growth was largely driven by a 150 Mmt rise in Chinese imports, as domestic production could not keep pace with growing consumption. Reflecting these consumption patterns, the Asia Pacific region accounted for approximately 80 percent of global coal imports. In the meantime, the European Union has continued to substitute exports from Russia by increasing trade with several commercial partners including the Australia, Colombia, South Africa and the United States.
Coal prices are expected to decline by 28 percent in 2024 and a further 12 percent in 2025. Upside risks to the coal price outlook includes higher-than-expected growth in China’s consumption and various factors that could lower renewable electricity production, such as low rainfall or light wind conditions. Downside risks include ample supply and weaker-than-expected global growth. The baseline assumption that China’s coal demand peaked in 2023 may be challenged by stronger-than-expected growth in power generation, as seen in 2021, or shortfalls in output from hydropower, as in 2023. Additionally, new coal mines are under development in China, and about 110 GW of coal plants were approved in 2023, indicating that domestic coal consumption could continue to rise. Production data covering 2024Q1 indicate that coal demand in the power sector in China will increase in 2024 unless renewable generation booms over the summer months or demand for electricity decreases.
By Paolo Agnolucci & Kaltrina Temaj
World Bank
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Friday, 26 July 24
FUELEU MARITME IS COMING. IS YOUR CHARTERPARTY READY? - GARD
With less than six months to implementation of FuelEU Maritime in EU and EEA trades, there has been little published advice regarding how to alloca ...
Thursday, 04 July 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 14% IN JUNE - PTI
The country’s coal production rose by 14.49% to 84.63 million tonne (MT) in June. The country’s coal output was 73.92 MT in June last f ...
Tuesday, 02 July 24
NTPC CAPTIVE COAL OUTPUT GROWS 15% IN Q1; DESPATCH RISES 17%
State-owned NTPC on Monday reported a 15 per cent year-on-year increase in the production of coal from captives mines to 9.862 metric million tonne ...
Friday, 28 June 24
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 400,000 MT OF MINIMUM 4000 NCV COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for total 400,000 MT of Low Calorific Value Coal for 5 years starting from July 2024 until ...
Friday, 28 June 24
INDIAN POWER STATIONS STOCKED WITH BUMPER COAL SUPPLY AS TRANSPORT WOES EASE - BUSINESS STANDARD
Even as power demand has touched a historic high of 250 gigawatts (Gw) amid sweltering heat this June, India’s power stations are stocked wit ...
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Showing 6 to 10 news of total 6871 |
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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