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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
 Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more than 60 percent from their peaks in 2022, driven by soft economic activity and lower gas prices, which negatively affected demand for coal in the power sector. This significant drop has been bolstered by robust supply and gradually increasing penetration of renewable electricity. Nonetheless, prices remain well above their 2015-19 average. A sharp decline in prices has already unfolded in 2024, compared to the 2023 average, with further reductions anticipated in 2025 as renewable power generation meets rising electricity demand. Major risks to this outlook include stronger-than-expected growth in China's power output and hydropower shortfalls.
Global consumption hits a record high. In 2023, coal consumption is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 120 million tons (1.4 percent) compared to 2022. However, demand growth decelerated due to weak global economic activity, high penetration of renewable electricity, and lower natural gas prices. In the United States and the European Union, demand fell by an estimated 100 million tons each, while it rose by approximately 220 million tons in China and 100 million tons in India. The global demand shift towards Asia persisted in 2023, with China and India currently accounting for 70 percent of total consumption.
Global coal production remains robust. Production is estimated to have increased by about 150 million tons (Mmt) in 2023. In India, output rose by approximately 100 Mmt, while China's production grew by about 50 Mmt, partly due to enhanced safety measures in domestic mines. Conversely, production in the United States and the European Union declined by roughly 50 Mmt and 70 Mmt, respectively. In Australia, production stagnated due to labor shortages and sluggish exports to China, which have not fully recovered after China lifted its ban on Australian imports in January 2023, originally imposed in 2021.
Global trade reaches record highs. In 2023, global coal trade is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 100 Mmt. The growth was largely driven by a 150 Mmt rise in Chinese imports, as domestic production could not keep pace with growing consumption. Reflecting these consumption patterns, the Asia Pacific region accounted for approximately 80 percent of global coal imports. In the meantime, the European Union has continued to substitute exports from Russia by increasing trade with several commercial partners including the Australia, Colombia, South Africa and the United States.
Coal prices are expected to decline by 28 percent in 2024 and a further 12 percent in 2025. Upside risks to the coal price outlook includes higher-than-expected growth in China’s consumption and various factors that could lower renewable electricity production, such as low rainfall or light wind conditions. Downside risks include ample supply and weaker-than-expected global growth. The baseline assumption that China’s coal demand peaked in 2023 may be challenged by stronger-than-expected growth in power generation, as seen in 2021, or shortfalls in output from hydropower, as in 2023. Additionally, new coal mines are under development in China, and about 110 GW of coal plants were approved in 2023, indicating that domestic coal consumption could continue to rise. Production data covering 2024Q1 indicate that coal demand in the power sector in China will increase in 2024 unless renewable generation booms over the summer months or demand for electricity decreases.
By Paolo Agnolucci & Kaltrina Temaj
World Bank
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Friday, 26 July 24
FUELEU MARITME IS COMING. IS YOUR CHARTERPARTY READY? - GARD
With less than six months to implementation of FuelEU Maritime in EU and EEA trades, there has been little published advice regarding how to alloca ...
Thursday, 04 July 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 14% IN JUNE - PTI
The country’s coal production rose by 14.49% to 84.63 million tonne (MT) in June. The country’s coal output was 73.92 MT in June last f ...
Tuesday, 02 July 24
NTPC CAPTIVE COAL OUTPUT GROWS 15% IN Q1; DESPATCH RISES 17%
State-owned NTPC on Monday reported a 15 per cent year-on-year increase in the production of coal from captives mines to 9.862 metric million tonne ...
Friday, 28 June 24
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 400,000 MT OF MINIMUM 4000 NCV COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for total 400,000 MT of Low Calorific Value Coal for 5 years starting from July 2024 until ...
Friday, 28 June 24
INDIAN POWER STATIONS STOCKED WITH BUMPER COAL SUPPLY AS TRANSPORT WOES EASE - BUSINESS STANDARD
Even as power demand has touched a historic high of 250 gigawatts (Gw) amid sweltering heat this June, India’s power stations are stocked wit ...
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Showing 6 to 10 news of total 6871 |
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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