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Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
 Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more than 60 percent from their peaks in 2022, driven by soft economic activity and lower gas prices, which negatively affected demand for coal in the power sector. This significant drop has been bolstered by robust supply and gradually increasing penetration of renewable electricity. Nonetheless, prices remain well above their 2015-19 average. A sharp decline in prices has already unfolded in 2024, compared to the 2023 average, with further reductions anticipated in 2025 as renewable power generation meets rising electricity demand. Major risks to this outlook include stronger-than-expected growth in China's power output and hydropower shortfalls.
Global consumption hits a record high. In 2023, coal consumption is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 120 million tons (1.4 percent) compared to 2022. However, demand growth decelerated due to weak global economic activity, high penetration of renewable electricity, and lower natural gas prices. In the United States and the European Union, demand fell by an estimated 100 million tons each, while it rose by approximately 220 million tons in China and 100 million tons in India. The global demand shift towards Asia persisted in 2023, with China and India currently accounting for 70 percent of total consumption.
Global coal production remains robust. Production is estimated to have increased by about 150 million tons (Mmt) in 2023. In India, output rose by approximately 100 Mmt, while China's production grew by about 50 Mmt, partly due to enhanced safety measures in domestic mines. Conversely, production in the United States and the European Union declined by roughly 50 Mmt and 70 Mmt, respectively. In Australia, production stagnated due to labor shortages and sluggish exports to China, which have not fully recovered after China lifted its ban on Australian imports in January 2023, originally imposed in 2021.
Global trade reaches record highs. In 2023, global coal trade is estimated to have reached a record high, increasing by 100 Mmt. The growth was largely driven by a 150 Mmt rise in Chinese imports, as domestic production could not keep pace with growing consumption. Reflecting these consumption patterns, the Asia Pacific region accounted for approximately 80 percent of global coal imports. In the meantime, the European Union has continued to substitute exports from Russia by increasing trade with several commercial partners including the Australia, Colombia, South Africa and the United States.
Coal prices are expected to decline by 28 percent in 2024 and a further 12 percent in 2025. Upside risks to the coal price outlook includes higher-than-expected growth in China’s consumption and various factors that could lower renewable electricity production, such as low rainfall or light wind conditions. Downside risks include ample supply and weaker-than-expected global growth. The baseline assumption that China’s coal demand peaked in 2023 may be challenged by stronger-than-expected growth in power generation, as seen in 2021, or shortfalls in output from hydropower, as in 2023. Additionally, new coal mines are under development in China, and about 110 GW of coal plants were approved in 2023, indicating that domestic coal consumption could continue to rise. Production data covering 2024Q1 indicate that coal demand in the power sector in China will increase in 2024 unless renewable generation booms over the summer months or demand for electricity decreases.
By Paolo Agnolucci & Kaltrina Temaj
World Bank
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Thursday, 25 January 24
RED SEA SHIPPING DISRUPTIONS KEEP GEOPOLITICAL PREMIUM FOR COMMODITIES - FITCH RATINGS
Shipping disruptions and re-routing away from the Red Sea will maintain the geopolitical premium in the main commodity markets, including for oil a ...
Friday, 19 January 24
INDONESIA TARGETS 710 MLN METRIC TONS COAL OUTPUT IN 2024 AFTER RECORD 2023 - REUTERS
Indonesia, a major thermal coal exporter, aims to produce 710 million metric tons of coal in 2024, its mining minister said on Monday, after postin ...
Friday, 19 January 24
DRUMMOND COLOMBIA COAL OUTPUT ROSE 7.1% IN 2023 - REUTERS
Coal production from miner Drummond’s Colombia operations rose 7.1% in 2023 to 29.5 million metric tons, while exports declined by 2.6% to 27 ...
Friday, 19 January 24
CHINA'S 2023 COAL OUTPUT HITS RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal output reached a record high in 2023, data from the statistics bureau showed on Wednesday, amid an ongoing focus on energy secur ...
Monday, 08 January 24
KOSPO TO BUY 80000 MT OF INDONESIAN LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL FOR FEB 2024
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for the supply of Indonesian Low Calorific Value Coal from qualified suppliers for Korean ...
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Showing 51 to 55 news of total 6871 |
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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