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Friday, 10 November 23
COAL USE AT U.S. POWER PLANTS CONTINUES DOWNWARD SPIRAL; FULL IMPACT ON MINES TO BE FELT IN 2024 - IEEFA
 This year, the use of coal by the U.S.’s power producers has been so anemic that the fuel has not achieved a 20% market share in any month so far, and the current outlook predicts low levels for the rest of the year. To put that into perspective, coal’s power market share had never been less than 20% in any month before 2020, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
In July 2023, for example, coal hit its high point for the year so far, providing 19.1% of the country’s power; in August its market share was 19.0%. That performance stands in stark contrast to 2021, when coal’s market share in both July and August was more than 25%—roughly 6 percentage points higher. The low point this spring occurred in April and May, between the winter heating and summer cooling seasons, when coal’s market share slumped to just 13.8%—the first time it has ever fallen below 15%.
Despite hotter summer temperatures and increased power demand to run air conditioning in some parts of the country this summer, the use of coal has fallen. This is a result of lower prices for gas—coal’s primary fossil-fuel competitor—and a surge in utility-scale solar generation, which was up 20% in July from July 2022, and up 23% in August from a year ago.
The EIA’s current outlook suggests even more deterioration for coal power in the coming months. The energy agency not only sees coal’s November market share returning to the record-low market share in the spring, but also dropping even more in 2024, to as low as 10 to 13% in both the spring and fall.
The decision by plant owners to scale back their use of coal can be seen in at least two measures. First, power generation at coal plants has fallen every single month in 2023 compared to the same months in 2022, both at those owned by utilities and those owned by independent power producers (IPPs)—and by a lot. Through August, utility coal generation has dropped an average of 19.7%. At IPP coal plants, which are more sensitive to competitive pressures, generation has fallen even more—declining an average of 29.7%, a sign that the economics of selling coal-fired power have deteriorated significantly this year.
At the same time, coal stockpiles have surged, to almost 130 million tons in June, and remain high. That’s enough to run coal plants for 113 days, or almost four months, based on the average amount of coal used over the previous year. This measure, called “days of burn,” is more useful than simply looking at the size of the coal piles, since there are fewer coal plants than in the past, and the ones that are still operating are running less. In fact, the amount of coal used each day in the U.S. has fallen from about 2.8 million tons a day in 2008 to roughly 1.1 million tons a day this year—a 62% drop.
It can take a long time to bring such large stockpiles down to levels power producers are more comfortable with—historically around 50 to 60 days’ supply. It took 16 months to lower stockpiles from the May 2020 peak of 120 days of burn, and it took 34 months—almost three years— to lower stockpiles after a May 2016 peak of 105 days of burn. The speed of the drawdown will also be influenced by other factors like warm winter weather, the health of the U.S. economy, and gas prices.
To cut stockpiles, coal-plant owners are likely to turn to a straightforward solution: Buy less coal.
That, of course, would directly affect coal mining in the U.S., and the EIA is already warning that a significant production downturn is coming for the remainder of 2023 and throughout 2024. Overall, coal output could fall to 466 million tons in 2024, a 25 percent decline of 115 million tons from 2023 levels, the EIA says. If that figure holds, it would be the smallest annual U.S. coal production since 1962—but most of the years between 1936 and 1957 also had higher output.
Western producers, which include the nation’s largest mines in the Powder River Basin, could be hardest hit. The EIA is anticipating output in the region to slump 30% next year, or 73 million tons, to just 246 million tons. That would be the region’s lowest production in at least 40 years. Appalachian production doesn’t fare much better. There, the EIA expects production to fall almost 22%, or 29 million tons, to just 132 million tons. For comparison, when coal output in Appalachia peaked in 1990, almost four times as much of the fuel was mined.
After a sharp drop in coal demand in 2020 due to the pandemic, output from U.S. coal producers moderately rebounded and stabilized in 2021. Then, in 2022, coal prices soared after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which broadly improved the financial health of U.S. coal companies—but provided only a modest improvement in the volume of coal produced, which declined again this year.
That temporary reprieve has ended. Coal companies are now staring at a substantial new downturn driven by an accelerating decline in domestic demand.
Source: IEEFA
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Friday, 28 June 24
INDIAN POWER STATIONS STOCKED WITH BUMPER COAL SUPPLY AS TRANSPORT WOES EASE - BUSINESS STANDARD
Even as power demand has touched a historic high of 250 gigawatts (Gw) amid sweltering heat this June, India’s power stations are stocked wit ...
Friday, 28 June 24
INDIA'S CY23 COAL USE LARGER THAN NORTH AMERICA, EUROPE COMBINED - THE HINDU
For the first time, India’s coal consumption surpassed that of North America and Europe combined in the calendar year 2023, said Energy Insti ...
Monday, 24 June 24
PLN'S FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY RESTS ON ACCELERATED COAL RETIREMENT AND RENEWABLES DEPLOYMENT - MUTYA YUSTIKA
On 28 May 2024, Indonesia’s national electricity utility, PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), released its financial report for 2023. Althoug ...
Monday, 24 June 24
INDIA'S COAL-BASED POWER DEMAND AT ALL-TIME HIGH, GOVERNMENT SAYS - REUTERS
India’s demand for coal-based power has risen by 7.3% this fiscal year to an all-time high, the government said in a statement on Wednesday.
...
Monday, 24 June 24
CHINA'S COAL INDUSTRY TURNS GREENER THROUGH INNOVATIVE APPROACHES - PEOPLE'S DAILY
At an opencast mine operated by Inner Mongolia Pingzhuang Coal Group Co. Ltd., a subsidiary of CHN Energy Investment Group (CHN Energy), a 14-meter ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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