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Wednesday, 27 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Amid the upcoming ban on Russian coal from the EU, which will be in full effect on August 10th, EU nations have been accelerating their coal imports as a direct reaction to the threat of a reduction in gas supply from Russia. The ban comes at a time when coal trade is already tight. As a result, thermal coal prices have been surging on the back of tight supply and geopolitical tensions.
Considering that the EU was importing approximately 35-40mn tonnes/year from Russia, these cargoes need to be supplied from elsewhere, namely US, Australia, South Africa, and Colombia. US accounts for the largest exporter of thermal coal to Europe at the moment, with exports surging to 11.2mn tonnes during 1H22, noting a 91.6% y-o-y increase. Amid intensified sanctions, US Government is exerting pressure on miners to increase production, therefore, trade flows from US to EU ports (mainly Netherlands and Germany) are expected to increase within 2H22.
High-quality Australian coal, on the other hand, is also benefiting from the surging demand in the EU. Imports from Australia surged to 10.2mn tonnes, marking a 27.8% y-o-y increase. For instance, thermal coal exports from Australia's Gladstone port in Queensland hit an 11-month high in June. Gladstone shipped 193,000 tonnes to the Netherlands, 76,400 tonnes to Poland, and 40,000 tonnes to Turkey. Trade flows from Australia, however, did not provide adequate relief as part of Australia’s production tied to long-term contracts.
Volumes from Colombia flowing to Europe recently are on an uptick. Although EU’s appetite for Colombian coal has declined during the past years, the country’s recovered production provided a steady flow of imports amid the current energy crunch, while more shipments are expected during the following months.
Lastly, South African coal has seen its exports recovering y-o-y amid the EU’s increased demand. However, the country’s issues with violence waves, logistics issues, and Covid-induced and weather-related disruptions in production have resulted in unpredictable trade flows. Given that the nation will be able to hold its export momentum, more shipments could be anticipated toward the EU during Q3.
In the meantime, new origins are emerging, like Tanzania, Kazakhstan, and Nigeria, which are being positively considered as a backup measure. EU buyers have started exploring them as a viable plan of action due to competitive prices and quality. Over the past 2 months, a few shipments have been imported to the EU from Tanzania and Kazakhstan at competitive prices compared to the US and South African coal. If imports increase, they will provide relief to thermal coal prices.
Thermal coal is now traded at the range of $400/mt compared to $130/mt the year before, marking a 300% y-o-y increase. With supply being already tight and demand rising from the EU, a supply/demand imbalance will continue to add pressure on thermal coal prices. Given the EU will manage to establish alternative coal resources, prices may soften in the medium term.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 29 July 22
GLENCORE TO SUPPLY COAL TO NIPPON STEEL AT $375 PER TON - BLOOMBERG
Glencore Plc, agreed to supply coal to Nippon Steel at one of the highest prices ever paid by the Japan Bloomberg reported on July 27.
...
Friday, 29 July 22
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IS SET TO RETURN TO ITS ALL-TIME HIGH IN 2022 - IEA
The world’s consumption of coal is set to rise slightly in 2022, taking it back to the record level it reached nearly a decade ago, according ...
Thursday, 28 July 22
CREW FAMILIARISATION IS CRITICAL WHEN TAKING OVER A VESSEL - WEST P&I CLUB
Knowledge to Elevate
When a vessel changes ownership and/or manager, it can take some considerable time before the new crew and mana ...
Thursday, 28 July 22
RETURN OF COAL A THREAT TO EUROPEAN COMPANIES' ESG RATINGS - REUTERS
European companies turning to coal as an alternative to Russian gas face a hit to their environmental, social and governance ratings, leaving them ...
Tuesday, 26 July 22
CAP RUSSIA'S OIL PRICE NOW - PROJECT SYNDICATE
Though the price of oil has declined in recent weeks, it is still through the roof, filtering through to gasoline prices, and causing economic and ...
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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