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Wednesday, 23 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we all know, China forges more steel than the rest of the world combined, and even during this unprecedented pandemic, the nation is set to break a nine year record with iron ore imports increasing this year to above one billion tonnes. The outlook on the market price of iron ore is also strong, since apart from the effect of the underlying fundamentals and the current momentum driven by China, as a commodity it is now trading at the highest level since late 2011 up nearly 80% in 2020.
China’s iron ore imports, which are primarily from Australia and Brazil, are playing a significant role in seaborne trade dynamics and the Capesize freight market in particular. Despite the recent tensions between Australia and China and the results of that on coal trade in particular, we expect an intensive demand for both materials during the remainder of the year. Hopefully during the next year as well. In the first and second quarter of the new year, we are all also hoping at the same time for effective vaccines to allow global commerce to restart and return to a certain “new normal, hopefully boosting activity on an even more broader scope across all dry bulk segments.
On the coal trade front, Australia and Indonesia account for 78% of total Chinese imports. Both countries offer short sailing distances to China and the recent escalation of political tensions between China and Australia led to an unofficial ban on Australian coal entering China, which put in force in early November. This has essentially meant that all vessels loaded with Australian coal approaching Chinese ports are now anchored off Chinese ports, some stranded there even for months. Furthermore, it was reported that China recently inked a US$1.5 billion worth of thermal coal deal with Indonesia, which represents a significant volume of Indonesian coal expected to reach China within 2021.
Looking at iron ore demand, the main driver for the Capesize freight market, China's demand is expected to remain high over the next 12 months; although Chinese steelmakers may seek to reduce production slightly should the iron ore prices remain at such a high level that renders many of them unprofitable. Iron ore demand in many other countries of the world is expected to stay below its 2019 level, with a range of steelmakers in Europe and South Asia remaining closed or in a slowdown and not expected to return to production until iron ore prices drop.
China will release its five-year plan for the period 2021-2025 in March next year. The plan is expected to include a renewed focus on infrastructure rollouts and more rapid urbanisation, particularly in central and western China, which will in turn impact steel demand. By that time, in March, we will have a more positive outlook on the Covid-19 situation and more clear insight on the effect of the vaccine on the greater population and its economies. Interesting times ahead of us, let’s see how this will affect seaborne shipping in a new year where we are all expecting a much better landscape.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 28 September 21
THE MAIDEN EDITION OF DIVE TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2021 CONCLUDES SUCCESSFULLY
Press Release: DIVE TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2021, a one-day conference on the recent technological advancements in the Industrial Diving industry conclud ...
Monday, 27 September 21
CHINESE COAL FIRMS MEET TO ADDRESS WINTER SUPPLY CHALLENGES - CNBC
Major Chinese coal producers are trying to resolve supply shortages and curb price rises as the country’s winter consumption peak approaches, ...
Saturday, 25 September 21
HIGH STAKES FOR ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK’S AMBITIOUS COAL POWER RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
Implementation challenges could block funding for other equally important high impact clean energy funding strategies
In the lead up ...
Thursday, 23 September 21
LONGER COAL CONTRACTS MAY REIN IN PRICES - ECNS
In China’s coal sector that has been marred recently by price surges, regional authorities and related enterprises should ensure the fuel con ...
Thursday, 23 September 21
BALTIC INDEX HITS 12-YEAR PEAK ON FIRMER VESSELS RATES - REUTERS
The Baltic Exchange’s main dry bulk sea freight index rose for a fourth straight session on Wednesday to a 12-year high, buoyed by higher rat ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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