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Wednesday, 23 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we all know, China forges more steel than the rest of the world combined, and even during this unprecedented pandemic, the nation is set to break a nine year record with iron ore imports increasing this year to above one billion tonnes. The outlook on the market price of iron ore is also strong, since apart from the effect of the underlying fundamentals and the current momentum driven by China, as a commodity it is now trading at the highest level since late 2011 up nearly 80% in 2020.
China’s iron ore imports, which are primarily from Australia and Brazil, are playing a significant role in seaborne trade dynamics and the Capesize freight market in particular. Despite the recent tensions between Australia and China and the results of that on coal trade in particular, we expect an intensive demand for both materials during the remainder of the year. Hopefully during the next year as well. In the first and second quarter of the new year, we are all also hoping at the same time for effective vaccines to allow global commerce to restart and return to a certain “new normal, hopefully boosting activity on an even more broader scope across all dry bulk segments.
On the coal trade front, Australia and Indonesia account for 78% of total Chinese imports. Both countries offer short sailing distances to China and the recent escalation of political tensions between China and Australia led to an unofficial ban on Australian coal entering China, which put in force in early November. This has essentially meant that all vessels loaded with Australian coal approaching Chinese ports are now anchored off Chinese ports, some stranded there even for months. Furthermore, it was reported that China recently inked a US$1.5 billion worth of thermal coal deal with Indonesia, which represents a significant volume of Indonesian coal expected to reach China within 2021.
Looking at iron ore demand, the main driver for the Capesize freight market, China's demand is expected to remain high over the next 12 months; although Chinese steelmakers may seek to reduce production slightly should the iron ore prices remain at such a high level that renders many of them unprofitable. Iron ore demand in many other countries of the world is expected to stay below its 2019 level, with a range of steelmakers in Europe and South Asia remaining closed or in a slowdown and not expected to return to production until iron ore prices drop.
China will release its five-year plan for the period 2021-2025 in March next year. The plan is expected to include a renewed focus on infrastructure rollouts and more rapid urbanisation, particularly in central and western China, which will in turn impact steel demand. By that time, in March, we will have a more positive outlook on the Covid-19 situation and more clear insight on the effect of the vaccine on the greater population and its economies. Interesting times ahead of us, let’s see how this will affect seaborne shipping in a new year where we are all expecting a much better landscape.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 December 20
PANAMAX: THE OVERALL MARKET SEEMS TO BE UNDER NEGATIVE PRESSURE - ALLIED
Capesize
A rather indifferent week for the Capesize market, with BCI 5TC figure finishing the week with slight losses of 0.8%. The Atlantic enj ...
Friday, 04 December 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Friday, 04 December 20
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE REACHES THREE MONTH HIGH ON IMPROVING DEMAND OUTLOOK
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference reaches three month high on improving demand outlook . The Indonesia Coal Price Reference rose by& ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
GLOBAL MINING SECTOR OUTLOOK STABLE DUE TO CHINA'S RECOVERY - FITCH RATINGS
China’s post-pandemic economic recovery and sizeable infrastructure-focused government stimulus boosted global metals and mining prices, help ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
INDONESIA CONSIDERING CLOSING 3,400MW SURALAYA COAL PLANT - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is considering to shut down the aging Suralaya coal-fired power plant (PLTU) in Cilegon, Banten, and replace it with green energy, a ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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