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Wednesday, 23 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we all know, China forges more steel than the rest of the world combined, and even during this unprecedented pandemic, the nation is set to break a nine year record with iron ore imports increasing this year to above one billion tonnes. The outlook on the market price of iron ore is also strong, since apart from the effect of the underlying fundamentals and the current momentum driven by China, as a commodity it is now trading at the highest level since late 2011 up nearly 80% in 2020.
China’s iron ore imports, which are primarily from Australia and Brazil, are playing a significant role in seaborne trade dynamics and the Capesize freight market in particular. Despite the recent tensions between Australia and China and the results of that on coal trade in particular, we expect an intensive demand for both materials during the remainder of the year. Hopefully during the next year as well. In the first and second quarter of the new year, we are all also hoping at the same time for effective vaccines to allow global commerce to restart and return to a certain “new normal, hopefully boosting activity on an even more broader scope across all dry bulk segments.
On the coal trade front, Australia and Indonesia account for 78% of total Chinese imports. Both countries offer short sailing distances to China and the recent escalation of political tensions between China and Australia led to an unofficial ban on Australian coal entering China, which put in force in early November. This has essentially meant that all vessels loaded with Australian coal approaching Chinese ports are now anchored off Chinese ports, some stranded there even for months. Furthermore, it was reported that China recently inked a US$1.5 billion worth of thermal coal deal with Indonesia, which represents a significant volume of Indonesian coal expected to reach China within 2021.
Looking at iron ore demand, the main driver for the Capesize freight market, China's demand is expected to remain high over the next 12 months; although Chinese steelmakers may seek to reduce production slightly should the iron ore prices remain at such a high level that renders many of them unprofitable. Iron ore demand in many other countries of the world is expected to stay below its 2019 level, with a range of steelmakers in Europe and South Asia remaining closed or in a slowdown and not expected to return to production until iron ore prices drop.
China will release its five-year plan for the period 2021-2025 in March next year. The plan is expected to include a renewed focus on infrastructure rollouts and more rapid urbanisation, particularly in central and western China, which will in turn impact steel demand. By that time, in March, we will have a more positive outlook on the Covid-19 situation and more clear insight on the effect of the vaccine on the greater population and its economies. Interesting times ahead of us, let’s see how this will affect seaborne shipping in a new year where we are all expecting a much better landscape.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 16 January 21
SEABORNE TRADE IN STEAM COAL DECREASED BY 11.6% FROM 937 MILLION TONNES IN 2019 TO 828 MILLION TONNES IN 2020 - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
According to preliminary calculations by the German Coal Importers Association (Verein der Kohlenimporteure e. V.), global hard coal production dec ...
Friday, 15 January 21
OVER US$50 BILLION IN GAS POWER PROJECTS AND LNG IMPORT FACILITIES AT RISK OF CANCELLATION IN BANGLADESH, PAKISTAN AND VIETNAM - IEEFA
Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports
Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh tha ...
Friday, 15 January 21
VIETNAM'S EXTRAORDINARY ROOFTOP SOLAR SUCCESS DEALS ANOTHER BLOW TO THE REMAINING COAL PIPELINE - IEEFA
9.3 gigawatts peak of solar capacity, equal to 6 coal power plants, installed in less than a year
Vietnam’s solar power indust ...
Friday, 15 January 21
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 14 January 21
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITED BIDS FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL FOR THREE YEARS SUPPLY
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, issued an International tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Min.5,700 kcal/kg NCV coal of Australian Origin ...
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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