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Monday, 06 April 20
INDIA'S 21-DAY LOCKDOWN - IMPACT ON COMMODITIES? - WOOD MACKENZIE
 India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March, to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
Impact on power and coal demand
Principal analyst Pralabh Bhargava said: “India’s power demand has declined on average 30% year-on-year (yoy) and 25% week-on-week basis on 28 March. Demand from the industrial and commercial sectors are already falling. Load shape is moving to residential from industrial due to teleworking and home-schooling. We expect an average overall power demand decline of 35% until 14 April and a progressive recovery thereafter.
“Coal stocks at power plants and mines reached record highs of 40 million tonnes (Mt) and 60 Mt by 25 March, and many are already rejecting shipments from Coal India. This situation is due to lower thermal coal demand over the last 15 days and robust production in recent months.
“Movement of imported coal will be restricted due to constraints at ports and infrastructure. We expect the Force Majeure announced by port operators to have a limited impact on coal imports, as it is considered an ‘essential’ service.”
Impact on gas and LNG
Senior analyst Vidur Singhal said: “The transport and industrial sectors have been impacted. The average daily gas consumption across sectors stood at around 151 mmcm/d (million cubic metres per day) in 2019. We expect about 18-20% reduction in daily gas demand post lockdown. Also, demand from refineries and fertiliser plants, and anchor gas customers, have reduced in line with their utilisation rates with significant downside risk if the lockdown is extended.
“Gas aggregators are in a tight spot. LNG buyers declared Force Majeure once port operations stopped. Regas terminals were oversupplied heading into the lockdown as all major buyers procured low-priced spot volumes in advance. Even long-term LNG volumes are at risk as demand shrinks.”
Impact on oil products demand and refining
Research analyst Qiaoling Chen said: “We estimate that gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel demand will be down by 25%, 33%, and 13% yoy respectively in the second quarter while fuel oil, refinery gas demand will decline by 8%, 20% respectively at the same time.
“Overall, total demand is expected to decline by 871,000 barrels per day (b/d) (-17%) yoy in April. The negative impact is likely to last through Q2 2020 with most oil products returning to normal growth in the third quarter of this year except for jet fuel demand, which is expected to return to normal growth only in the first quarter of next year.”
On refining, research analyst Kendrick Ng said: “Refiners are reducing runs in response to lower oil products demand and weakness in refining margins. We estimate that the country will process about 800,000 b/d less crude in April, month-on-month basis, resulting in about 17% decline in the utilisation rate.
“Indian PSUs (public sector undertaking) are expected to be hurt the most amid tepid domestic demand, high storage level and lesser access to export markets, especially inland refineries.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Friday, 21 August 20
BHP COMMITS TO SELLING ITS THERMAL COALMINES WITHIN TWO YEARS - THE GUARDIAN
Move follows pressure from investors but company stops short of full exit from coalmining
BHP has announced it plans to sell off its ...
Thursday, 20 August 20
MINER BHP CONFIRMS PLANS TO EXIT THERMAL COAL SECTOR - THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
The head of mining giant BHP has laid out plans for a reshaping of its global operations by seeking to quit thermal coal mining, offload some cokin ...
Thursday, 20 August 20
LONDON RETAINS ARBITER CROWN - BALTIC EXCHANGE | HFW
Fears that the UK’s decision to leave the European Union would dent the reputation of the nation’s capital as the leader in maritime ar ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
U.S. COAL STOCKPILES STEADILY INCREASE AFTER REACHING LOWEST LEVEL IN A DECADE IN 2019 - EIA
After reaching their lowest level in more than a decade in March 2019, U.S. coal stockpiles steadily increased to 152 million tons in April 2020, r ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.26 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 124.92 points Monday, down 0.26 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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