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Thursday, 19 March 20
A CRUDE TSUNAMI: UP TO 3 MILLION BPD OF EXTRA OIL CAN HIT THE MARKET FROM APRIL, MORE COMING IN MAY - RYSTAD ENERGY
 The extra oil coming into the global market from April will be as much as 3 million barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates. Two million bpd is what OPEC+ countries are realistically able to add next month based on their storage, spare capacity and ramp up capabilities. Another million bpd could come if a cease-fire is agreed upon in Libya and the country reaches pre-shut-in levels.
The additional product comes at a time when there is an existing global supply surplus. Before the OPEC+ meeting earlier this month, Rystad Energy had calculated that cuts of about 2 million bpd were needed to balance the market.
Since then, the world’s global demand has also seen a steep decline as flight cancellations, industrial shutdowns, quarantines and travel bans have further reduced the need for oil consumption by many more millions of bpd, widening the imbalance that already existed before the OPEC+ meeting.
The oil price is soon expected to slide even lower once the extra supply becomes available from April. But that’s not the end of it, as OPEC+ could add another 800,000 barrels of oil from May, ramping up production from its spare capacity even further.
Separately, Libya itself could make use of more of its total production capacity in a cease-fire scenario, which is as high as 2.8 million bpd. The country’s current output is less than 100,000 barrels per day due to the ongoing conflict.
“Any large political power sometimes needs to remind its adversaries and competitors of its might. We believe Saudi Arabia seeks to teach the market a lesson,” says Bjørnar Tonhaugen, Rystad Energy’s Head of Oil Markets.
There is a risk of production shut-ins as the world’s oil storage capabilities will be put to the test, with oil’s spot price subsequently collapsing, Tonhaugen adds, in which case countries with higher break-even prices will be the first to be affected.
Breaking down the additional oil production capability of the OPEC+ countries, Saudi Arabia will be the producer that plans to add the most, reaching total supply capabilities of 12.3 million bpd. We believe their upstream crude production capacity, without any additional drilling, is limited to around 11.5 million bpd in the short term.
For now, we expect the country’s April crude production to rise to between 10.8 million and 11 million bpd from 9.8 million bpd in February, and further to 11.2 million bpd in May. The remaining oil could come from its global storage facilities, in order to meet the 12.3 million bpd target.
We expect that Russia can increase production by at least 300,000 bpd in the next 90 days, according to guidance provided by Energy Minister Alexander Novak, but for now we include a more conservative increase of about 200,000 bpd in our estimates.
We expect UAE production to increase by about 200,000 bpd to 3.20 million bpd in April from February’s 3.04 million bpd, mostly from its flagship Murban onshore field. We acknowledge that the UAE could manage to increase production even higher if it utilizes its entire spare capacity.
A 110,000-bpd increase is also expected from Kuwait in April, raising its total production to 2.80 million bpd, with less upside risk than for UAE, Russia and Saudi Arabia.
The last major country with ample available spare capacity to potentially bring to the market in April is Iraq. Based on our analysis, Iraq will ramp-up production by 250,000 bpd to nearly 4.9 million bpd in April. If Iraq finds buyers for this additional crude, its total spare capacity of 480,000 bpd could be back online by June.
Source: Rystad Energy
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Tuesday, 03 March 20
COAL'S SHARE OF CHINA ENERGY MIX FALLS IN 2019 BUT CONSUMPTION STILL RISING - REUTERS
Coal accounted for 57.7% of China’s primary energy consumption in 2019, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday, down 1.5 percentage ...
Monday, 02 March 20
SHIPOWNERS AND OPERATORS COULD FACE DETENTION OF SHIPS FROM 1ST MARCH UNDER IMO RULE - ICS
Port state control authorities will begin to enforce the IMO’s Sulphur 2020 from 1st March, making it an offense for ships to carry fuel that ...
Saturday, 29 February 20
SUPRAMAX SENTIMENT WAS UP IN A FEW KEY AREAS OVER THE LAST WEEK - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market woes related to Coronavirus have now spread through the wider global markets like wildfire. The wider supply and d ...
Thursday, 27 February 20
FOREIGN COMPANIES LIKELY TO SKIP COMMERCIAL COAL BLOCK AUCTIONS - ECONOMIC TIMES
The Centre is in the process of inviting global players for commercial mining, following 100% foreign direct investment in the sector. However, giv ...
Wednesday, 26 February 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Coming from one of its busiest periods historically, with a list of scrubber and BWMS retrofits on a waiting list, the ship repair sector is witnes ...
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Showing 1101 to 1105 news of total 6871 |
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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