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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 10 January 19
BUNKER DELIVERY NOTE AMENDMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE AS SULPHUR 2020 REQUIREMENT LOOMS - IMO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Amendments to the bunker delivery note relating to the supply of marine fuel oil to ships which have fitted alternative m ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
WORLD TRADE IN THERMAL COAL IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE GROWN BY 1.0 PER CENT IN 2018 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
World Trade
World trade in thermal coal is estimated to have grown by 1.0 per cent to 1.1 billion tonnes in 2018 but it is expected to decline ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
PAKISTAN'S COAL IMPORTS TO SURGE TO 30 MILLION TONS PER ANNUM BY 2020 - CEO, PIB
Pakistan’s coal imports are estimated to surge to 30 million tons/annum from existing 20 million tons/annum by the year 2020, given the plann ...
Wednesday, 09 January 19
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW RELATIVELY GOOD DEMAND PARTICULARLY FROM INDONESIA AND NOPAC - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was an active start to the New Year, with trading from West Australia maintaining momentum during the holiday period. Rates for Chi ...
Wednesday, 09 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Paraphrasing the words of a Chief economist in a latest report of the World Bank Group, the current state of the shipping market very much resemble ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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