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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 22 January 19
AUSTRALIA'S YANCOAL PRODUCED 50 MMT SALEABLE COAL IN 2018 UP 59 PER CENT ON THE YEAR PRIOR, THE QUARTERLY REPORT SHOWS
According to the report, the miner's quarterly (Q4' 18) saleable coal production of 12.4 Mmt. Includes 10.5 Mmt (85 per cent) from the Comp ...
Monday, 21 January 19
KOSPO INVITING BIDS FOR 320K MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Monday, 21 January 19
SUPRAMAX: INDONESIAN COAL RUNS, TONNAGE WAS GIVING APS DELIVERIES AND A 57,000DWT SHIP FIXED AT $7,000 FOR A TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to a week that saw rates on the West Australia/China run slip below $6.00, as charterers faced a plentiful supply ...
Monday, 21 January 19
HARD COAL WORLD TRADE IN 2018 RISES BY 3.7 PER CENT; GLOBAL HARD COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 1.7 PER CENT - VDKI
Global Hard Coal Production Increases By 1.7%.
According to provisional calculations by the German Coal Importer Association (VDKi), ...
Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Foll ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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