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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal e ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
U.S COAL OUTPUT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BY 3 PER CENT IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 729 million short tons (MMst) in 2019, down by 25 MMst (3%) from 2018.
Acco ...
Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference ...
Monday, 14 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF MIN 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal for ...
Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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