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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Tuesday, 22 January 19
9TH GLOBAL MANUFACTURING SUPPLY CHAIN INNOVATION SUMMIT 2019
Rethinking the supply chain in manufacturing is a must at the digital era along with the industry transforming and innovating; new manufacturing is ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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