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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
Wednesday, 06 February 19
FEBRUARY 2019 INDONESIA'S COAL REFERENCE PRICE FELL 8.83 PERCENT YOY
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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