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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevai ...
Friday, 22 February 19
AUSTRALIAN HIGH CV THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 19-MONTH LOW, BUT NOT FOR LONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
The benchmark Newcastle high energy thermal coal price has fallen from US$100/tonne at the turn of the new year to US$88/tonne. Thermal coal has be ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
EFFECTIVE NOTICES OF ARBITRATION - AVOIDING WASTED COSTS AND A POTENTIALLY TIME-BARRED CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a recent case, The Amity [2017], charterers successfully set aside an arbitration award on the basis that ow ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in com ...
Tuesday, 19 February 19
AUSTRALIA'S COAL FUTURE UNDER THREAT AS MORE CHANGES HIT FOSSIL FUELS GLOBALLY - ABC
Two disparate decisions from opposite corners of the world have sounded warnings for the future of Australia’s coal industry.
...
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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