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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 08 March 19
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 2.6 MILLION TONS OF AUSTRALIAN 5700 NAR COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origin to be burnt ...
Friday, 08 March 19
CHINA'S COAL DEMAND FORECAST TO DROP SLOWLY - YONHAP
China’s coal demand is expected to fall at a snail’s pace over the next 20 years due to the country’s preference for the cheap fo ...
Thursday, 07 March 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TO LOWEST IN SEVEN MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 80,000 MT OF 3800 NCV COAL FOR 21 - 30 MARCH, 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 80,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calor ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER CO INVITES BIDS FOR 980,000 MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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