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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
Thursday, 21 March 19
PRICE PLUNGE AS CHINESE LEAVE THERMAL COAL OUT IN THE COLD - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Thermal coal exporter New Hope Corporation says China’s shipment squeeze on Australia is putting downward pressure on prices in all markets i ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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