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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 08 April 19
SULPHUR 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO THE SWITCHOVER - LLOYD'S REGISTER
Sulphur 2020 (MARPOL Annex VI Reg. 14.1.3) is still dominating headlines and as we draw closer to the 1 January 2020 deadline it’s clear that ...
Monday, 08 April 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PRICE PLUMMETS TO LOW NOT SEEN SINCE AUGUST 2017
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
SHIP PASSAGE PLANS - NO ROOM FOR ERROR! - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The English High Court’s judgment in Alize 1954 v Allianz Elementar Versicherungs AG (The CMA CGM Libra) is an impo ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
IMO 2020: READY OR NOT? - WOOD MACKENZIE
New Year’s Day 2020 is firmly marked in the calendar as the refining and shipping industries prepare for change.
The International Marit ...
Saturday, 06 April 19
AUSTRALIA COAL POSTS BIGGEST WEEKLY DROP IN A DECADE AMID WEAK DEMAND - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices this week registered their biggest weekly fall since the financial market turmoil of a decade ago as demand plunged ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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