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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 19 February 19
FAST DEPLETING COAL RESERVES COULD PUSH UP ENERGY PRICES, CAUTIONS EXPERT - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The fast depletion of coal, a strategic resource and India’s fuel of choice currently, has huge implications for energy costs, according to K ...
Monday, 18 February 19
INDIA'S COAL IMPORT FALLS TO 17.25 MT IN JANUARY - PTI
Coal imports saw a decline in January FY 2019 to 17.25 MT from 19.59 MT in the same month of the previous fiscal, according to a report by mjunctio ...
Monday, 18 February 19
THE ROLE OF COAL IN INDIA'S ENERGY AMBITIONS - WCA
India is the world’s second most populous country and figures among the world’s most rapidly growing economies.
The Sout ...
Saturday, 16 February 19
COALTRANS CHINA 2019, CHINA'S LARGEST COAL INDUSTRY GATHERING
Press Release: Coaltrans China 2019 | With the import ban likely to be lifted, it’s time for you to meet your potentia ...
Wednesday, 13 February 19
MALAYSIA WAS THE REGION'S LARGEST COAL IMPORTER WITH 34 MT IN 2018, UP 25% Y-O-Y
Although coal market in 2018 started with strong prices, starting in the beginning of the second half of 2018, the international spot prices for co ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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