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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
...
Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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