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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 16 November 19
LIFE AFTER FOSSIL FUELS: THE DAYS OF OIL AND COAL TRANSPORTATION ARE NUMBERED - BALTIC EXCHANGE
With the world fiercely focused on a decarbonised future, fossil fuel movers and traders might rightly be reconsidering their future. But cast a wi ...
Saturday, 16 November 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: PAUSING TO REFLECT - IEA
Global oil demand in 3Q19 increased by 1.1 mb/d year-on-year (y-o-y), more than double the 435 kb/d seen in 2Q19. China’s demand increased by ...
Friday, 15 November 19
RISING ENERGY DEMAND IN SOUTHEAST ASIA TO BE MET AND SUPPORTED BY COAL - WORLD COAL
Last week the International Energy Agency (IEA) released its semi-annual Southeast Asia Energy Outlook report which outlines the latest insights in ...
Thursday, 14 November 19
EIA EXPECTS U.S. STEAM COAL EXPORTS TO FACE INCREASING COMPETITION FROM EASTERN EUROPEAN SOURCES
EIA expects total U.S. coal production in 2019 to total 698 million short tons (MMst), an 8% decrease from the 2018 level of 756 MMst. The decline ...
Wednesday, 13 November 19
INDONESIAN NOVEMBER COAL PRICE REFERENCE LOGS FIRST GAIN SINCE AUGUST
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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