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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 04 November 19
PANAMAX: WEAKER SENTIMENTS CONTINUED FROM LAST WEEK, WITH RATES FURTHER SOFTENING IN BOTH BASINS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market meandered slightly upwards this week before giving back much of its gains mid-week. Opening the week at $24,945, t ...
Thursday, 31 October 19
U.S. COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS SCHEDULED TO SHUT - REUTERS
U.S. power companies expect to retire or convert from coal to gas over 13,800 megawatts (MW) of coal-fired plants in 2019 after shutting over 13,30 ...
Thursday, 31 October 19
SE ASIA MAY BECOME NET FOSSIL FUEL IMPORTER IN COMING YEARS - IEA
Southeast Asia is set to become a key driver of world energy trends over the next 20 years as its energy demand grows at twice the global average, ...
Monday, 28 October 19
ULTRAMAX: ASIA RATES REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE WITH THE NORTH LACKING FRESH ENQUIRY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The end of the week brought about a small increase in sentiment heading into a long weekend for some regions. After sustaining a drop ...
Thursday, 24 October 19
AUSTRALIA'S HOPES TO EXPAND COAL EXPORTS IN SOUTH-EAST ASIA 'DELUSIONAL', EXPERTS SAY - THE GUARDIAN
The number of new coal-fired power plants starting construction across south-east Asia has fallen markedly over the past two years as Australia has ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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